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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes TD Passes
Player Prop Week 2

Kansas City Chiefs vs Cincinnati Bengals

Patrick Mahomes TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-180/+145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -180.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Chiefs to pass on 62.0% of their downs: the 4th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.

The model projects the Chiefs to be the most pass-heavy team in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.8% red zone pass rate.

In this game, Patrick Mahomes is expected by the predictive model to have the 8th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 36.7.

In regards to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Chiefs ranks as the 8th-best in football since the start of last season.

With a stellar 67.7% Adjusted Completion% (84th percentile) since the start of last season, Patrick Mahomes rates among the best precision passers in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Chiefs being a 4-point favorite in this game.

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Chiefs are expected by the projection model to call only 62.6 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The Cincinnati Bengals cornerbacks profile as the 7th-best group of CBs in football since the start of last season in defending receivers.

More Patrick Mahomes Player Props

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