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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes TD Passes
Player Prop Week 12

Carolina Panthers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-146/+112).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 65.8% pass rate.

In this week's contest, Patrick Mahomes is forecasted by the projection model to wind up with the 7th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 34.9.

As it relates to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Kansas City Chiefs profiles as the best in the NFL this year.

Patrick Mahomes rates as one of the most accurate QBs in the NFL this year with a remarkable 69.3% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 91st percentile.

This year, the weak Carolina Panthers defense has yielded a colossal 74.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 6th-highest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Chiefs being a big 11-point favorite this week.

At the present time, the 10th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Kansas City Chiefs.

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