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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes TD Passes
Player Prop Week 7

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers

Patrick Mahomes TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-175).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Chiefs to pass on 61.9% of their chances: the 3rd-highest clip among all teams this week.

At the present time, the most pass-focused offense in football near the end zone (65.1% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Chiefs.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have 133.2 total plays run: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.

The predictive model expects Patrick Mahomes to attempt 39.2 passes in this contest, on balance: the 2nd-most out of all quarterbacks.

Opposing teams have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 7th-most in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 5.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on rushing than their normal game plan.

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