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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-120/-108).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 9-point advantage, the Chiefs are heavily favored this week, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their usual approach.

Patrick Mahomes's 8.58 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season conveys a noteworthy gain in his rushing skills over last season's 7.12 mark.

This year, the imposing Raiders run defense has surrendered a puny 5.17 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's run game: the 27th-smallest rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-least run-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 35.2% run rate.

At the moment, the 7th-most sluggish paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Chiefs.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.

After comprising 15.6% of his offense's rushing play calls last year, Patrick Mahomes has been less involved in the rushing attack this year, now taking on only 9.1%.

The Las Vegas Raiders defensive ends profile as the best group of DEs in football this year in regard to defending the run.

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