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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Kansas City Chiefs vs New Orleans Saints

Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread implies an extreme rushing game script for the Chiefs, who are a heavy favorite by 8 points.

The projections expect Patrick Mahomes to be a more important option in his team's running game in this week's contest (15.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (9.6% in games he has played).

Patrick Mahomes's running efficiency (7.54 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL this year (82nd percentile among quarterbacks).

As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, New Orleans's collection of DTs has been very bad this year, profiling as the worst in the league. in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the least run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 41.9% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The model projects this game to have the smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 124.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Chiefs this year (a mere 54.0 per game on average).

The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Patrick Mahomes has rushed for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (19.0) this year than he did last year (24.0).

More Patrick Mahomes Player Props

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