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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Atlanta Falcons vs Kansas City Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Chiefs being a 3-point favorite in this game.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Patrick Mahomes has grinded out 23.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the highest figures in the NFL among quarterbacks (80th percentile).

Patrick Mahomes's running efficiency (7.04 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL since the start of last season (97th percentile among QBs).

When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Atlanta's collection of DTs has been very bad since the start of last season, grading out as the 8th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Chiefs as the least run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 35.6% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

After comprising 15.6% of his offense's rushing play calls last year, Patrick Mahomes has played a smaller part in the run game this year, now taking on just 9.8%.

More Patrick Mahomes Player Props

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