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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 134.2 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 61.6 plays per game.

Patrick Mahomes's running effectiveness has been refined this year, totaling 7.92 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a mere 7.12 rate last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to run on 37.1% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest clip among all teams this week.

Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally lead to better passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower ground volume.

The predictive model expects Patrick Mahomes to accrue 2.8 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average: the 8th-fewest out of all QBs.

After making up 15.6% of his offense's rush attempts last season, Patrick Mahomes has been called on less the rushing attack this season, currently accounting for only 9.3%.

Patrick Mahomes's 19.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year marks a significant reduction in his rushing prowess over last year's 24.0 figure.

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