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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders

Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 13.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are a massive favorite in this week's contest, implying much more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard approach.

The Chiefs have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 60.4 plays per game.

Patrick Mahomes's ground effectiveness has gotten a boost this year, notching 8.07 adjusted yards-per-carry vs just 7.12 rate last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 2nd-least run-centric team in the league (33.9% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Kansas City Chiefs.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see only 125.6 total plays run: the 2nd-fewest among all games this week.

The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Patrick Mahomes has been much less involved in his team's rushing attack this season (9.7% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (15.6%).

When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Las Vegas's unit has been fantastic this year, grading out as the best in the league.

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