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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Carolina Panthers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Chiefs being a big 11-point favorite this week.

Patrick Mahomes's running efficiency (7.44 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league this year (88th percentile among quarterbacks).

The opposing side have run for the most adjusted yards in the NFL (174 per game) versus the Carolina Panthers defense this year.

The Panthers defensive ends project as the worst unit in the league this year in regard to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the least run-oriented offense in football (34.2% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Kansas City Chiefs.

At the present time, the 10th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Kansas City Chiefs.

Patrick Mahomes has been a much smaller piece of his offense's rushing attack this year (8.8% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (15.6%).

Patrick Mahomes's 18.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season shows a meaningful decline in his running prowess over last season's 24.0 rate.

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