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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Chiefs are a heavy 7.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Kansas City Chiefs are expected by the model to call 66.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The 4th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Chiefs this year (a whopping 61.0 per game on average).
  • With an exceptional tally of 7.8 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (88th percentile), Patrick Mahomes ranks as one of the best running quarterbacks in football this year.
  • When it comes to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Denver's DE corps has been awful this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in football. in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the least run-heavy offense in the NFL (35.4% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Kansas City Chiefs.
  • Patrick Mahomes has been a less important option in his team's rushing attack this year (8.9% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (15.6%).
  • The Denver Broncos defense owns the 5th-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, conceding just 4.08 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

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