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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Chiefs being a heavy 7-point favorite in this week's game.

Our trusted projections expect Patrick Mahomes to total 3.8 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average: the 8th-most out of all quarterbacks.

Comprising 14.7% of his offense's rush attempts this year (80th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks), Patrick Mahomes's mobility marks him as a major threat in Kansas City's rushing attack.

In regards to blocking for rushers (and the significance it has on all ground game statistics), the offensive line of the Kansas City Chiefs profiles as the best in football last year.

Patrick Mahomes's 30.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year indicates a noteworthy progression in his rushing ability over last year's 21.0 figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to be the 7th-least run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 38.2% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to run the 8th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

Patrick Mahomes is positioned as one of the worst quarterbacks in the league at picking up extra rushing yardage, averaging a lowly 0.55 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 6th percentile.

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