My Account Log Out

reorder

Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-750/+440).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ +440.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Comprising 15.0% of his team's rush attempts this year (85th percentile among quarterbacks), Patrick Mahomes's mobility marks him as a dangerous threat as a ball-carrier.

As it relates to executing run-blocking assignments (and the effect it has on all ground game stats), the offensive line of the Kansas City Chiefs grades out as the best in the league last year.

With an outstanding tally of 25.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (82nd percentile), Patrick Mahomes has been as one of the leading running QBs in football this year.

Patrick Mahomes's running effectiveness (7.70 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL this year (100th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks).

This year, the stout Bills run defense has yielded a paltry 4.63 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's run game: the 25th-best rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Chiefs as the least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 36.4% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the Chiefs to call the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

More Patrick Mahomes Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™