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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Chiefs are a 3.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Patrick Mahomes to notch 5.0 carries this week, on average: the 9th-most of all QBs.
  • THE BLITZ projects Patrick Mahomes to be a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this week (20.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (14.3% in games he has played).
  • The Kansas City Chiefs O-line profiles as the best in the NFL since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 6th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 36.9% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has had the 5th-best efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, conceding just 4.23 yards-per-carry.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars defensive tackles grade out as the 5th-best unit in the league since the start of last season with their run defense.

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