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Patrick Mahomes
NFL · Player Props
Patrick Mahomes
QB · Kansas City Chiefs
Passing Yards
Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 8, 2024 Updated Oct 27, 2024 11:21 PM EST
NFL Props Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards

Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 235.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 230.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 235.5 @ -110.

Favors Over
  • At the moment, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in the NFL (64.8% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Kansas City Chiefs.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs O-line ranks as the 5th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.
  • Patrick Mahomes is positioned as one of the most on-target quarterbacks in football this year with a fantastic 68.6% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 81st percentile.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 9th-highest clip in football vs. the Raiders defense this year (72.1% Adjusted Completion%).
Favors Under
  • With a 9-point advantage, the Chiefs are heavily favored this week, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their usual approach.
  • At the moment, the 7th-most sluggish paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Chiefs.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the Raiders, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in football (a measly 29.0 per game) this year.
  • Patrick Mahomes's 233.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year signifies an impressive diminishment in his passing prowess over last year's 274.0 figure.
  • This year, the formidable Raiders defense has conceded a paltry 195.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 6th-fewest in football.
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