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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers

Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 249.5 (-122/-107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 245.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 249.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (66.6% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Chiefs.

The Chiefs have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 60.6 plays per game.

Patrick Mahomes has attempted 37.6 throws per game this year, checking in at the 95th percentile among quarterbacks.

In regards to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Kansas City Chiefs profiles as the best in the league this year.

Patrick Mahomes has been one of the top passers in football this year, averaging an exceptional 262.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 88th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 4 points.

This year, the formidable Los Angeles Chargers defense has yielded the 3rd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing teams: a feeble 7.2 yards.

The Chargers defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.30 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-fewest in the league.

The Chargers linebackers project as the 4th-best LB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.

More Patrick Mahomes Player Props

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