Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

My Account Log Out

reorder

Patrick Mahomes

NFL · Player Props

Patrick Mahomes

QB · Kansas City Chiefs

Passing Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 23, 2023 1:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 284.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 277.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 284.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Chiefs to pass on 61.9% of their chances: the 3rd-highest clip among all teams this week.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have 133.2 total plays run: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects Patrick Mahomes to attempt 39.2 passes in this contest, on balance: the 2nd-most out of all quarterbacks.
Opposing teams have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 7th-most in football.
Opposing quarterbacks have passed for the most adjusted yards in the NFL (314.0 per game) versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year.

Favors Under

With a 5.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on rushing than their normal game plan.
Patrick Mahomes has thrown for many fewer adjusted yards per game (270.0) this year than he did last year (325.0).
Patrick Mahomes's 7.21 adjusted yards-per-target this year signifies a a noteworthy regression in his passing effectiveness over last year's 8.5% figure.

More Patrick Mahomes Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow