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Patrick Mahomes
NFL · Player Props
Patrick Mahomes
QB · Kansas City Chiefs
Passing Yards
Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 7, 2023 Updated Oct 23, 2023 1:56 AM UTC
NFL Props Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards

Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 284.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 277.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 284.5 @ -133.

Favors Over
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Chiefs to pass on 61.9% of their chances: the 3rd-highest clip among all teams this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have 133.2 total plays run: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects Patrick Mahomes to attempt 39.2 passes in this contest, on balance: the 2nd-most out of all quarterbacks.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 7th-most in football.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have passed for the most adjusted yards in the NFL (314.0 per game) versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year.
Favors Under
  • With a 5.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on rushing than their normal game plan.
  • Patrick Mahomes has thrown for many fewer adjusted yards per game (270.0) this year than he did last year (325.0).
  • Patrick Mahomes's 7.21 adjusted yards-per-target this year signifies a a noteworthy regression in his passing effectiveness over last year's 8.5% figure.
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