My Account Log Out

reorder

Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 21

Baltimore Ravens vs Kansas City Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 239.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 248.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 239.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Chiefs are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 65.0% of their plays: the greatest clip on the slate this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to have 133.4 total plays called: the most on the slate this week.

This week, Patrick Mahomes is anticipated by the projections to total the most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 40.2.

The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (36.2 per game) this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Patrick Mahomes has thrown for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (276.0) this season than he did last season (325.0).

Patrick Mahomes's 7.51 adjusted yards-per-target this season reflects a substantial decline in his passing effectiveness over last season's 8.5% rate.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 5th-lowest rate in football vs. the Ravens defense this year (65.7% Adjusted Completion%).

This year, the daunting Ravens defense has surrendered the least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing offenses: a puny 6.4 yards.

When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Baltimore's group of safeties has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the best in the NFL.

More Patrick Mahomes Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™