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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Rams

Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 281.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 288.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 281.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the most pass-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 72.4% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Chiefs to call the 5th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Patrick Mahomes to attempt 40.1 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 4th-most of all QBs.

Patrick Mahomes has passed for significantly more yards per game (347.0) this year than he did last year (255.0).

Patrick Mahomes has been among the most on-target passers in football this year with a terrific 66.5% Completion%, grading out in the 76th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chiefs are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.

Opposing teams have averaged 32.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 10th-least in the NFL.

The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has displayed good efficiency this year, giving up 7.24 yards-per-target: the 7th-least in the league.

The Los Angeles Rams pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.

The Kansas City Chiefs have faced a stacked the box on a measly 9.3% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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