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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 22

Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 37.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 36.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 2nd-most pass-oriented team in the league (68.3% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Chiefs.

The model projects the Chiefs offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.02 seconds per snap.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

In registering a massive 33.8 pass attempts per game this year, Patrick Mahomes ranks among the top QBs in football (82nd percentile) by this measure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Eagles, averaging the fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 26.4 per game) this year.

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