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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 20

Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans

Patrick Mahomes Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-102/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 36.5 @ -102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented team in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 68.3% pass rate.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to have 136.5 plays on offense run: the most out of all the games this week.

The Chiefs have called the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 59.5 plays per game.

The leading projections forecast Patrick Mahomes to throw 38.6 passes in this contest, on average: the most out of all quarterbacks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line suggests an extreme running game script for the Chiefs, who are overwhelmingly favored by 8.5 points.

The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Houston Texans defense this year: 9th-fewest in the NFL.

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