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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 16

Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Patrick Mahomes Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 8th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.8% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 2nd-most plays in the league have been run by the Chiefs this year (a colossal 61.4 per game on average).
  • The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may slide.
  • The model projects Patrick Mahomes to attempt 38.1 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 6th-most among all QBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is suggested by the Chiefs being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game.

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