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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 1

Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens

Patrick Mahomes Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 37.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 37.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Chiefs to be the most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 65.1% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast Patrick Mahomes to attempt 39.6 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the most out of all quarterbacks.

Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game against the Ravens defense last year: most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line implies a running game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 3 points.

In terms of a defense's impact on tempo, at 28.36 seconds per snap, the model projects the Chiefs to be the 6th-most sluggish in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time.

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