Patrick Mahomes Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Patrick Mahomes

NFL · Player Props

Patrick Mahomes

QB · Kansas City Chiefs

Pass Attempts

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 7:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Patrick Mahomes Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 34.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Chiefs as the 7th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 61.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
In this game, Patrick Mahomes is expected by the model to wind up with the 6th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 37.2.

Favors Under

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Chiefs being a heavy 7-point favorite in this week's game.
Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to run the 8th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Broncos, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 34.1 per game) this year.

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