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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 6

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos

Patrick Mahomes Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the most pass-heavy team in football (69.3% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Chiefs.

The leading projections forecast Patrick Mahomes to attempt 35.9 passes in this week's game, on average: the 8th-most out of all quarterbacks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chiefs are a heavy 10.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Windy weather conditions (like the 20-mph being called for in this game) typically mean decreased passing effectiveness, lower air volume, and increased run volume.

Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Broncos, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (just 32.4 per game) this year.

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