Patrick Mahomes Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Patrick Mahomes

NFL · Player Props

Patrick Mahomes

QB · Kansas City Chiefs

Pass Attempts

New York Jets vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 2, 2023 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Patrick Mahomes Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 36.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Chiefs as the 8th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 62.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The model projects Patrick Mahomes to attempt 38.1 passes in this game, on average: the 5th-most of all quarterbacks.

Favors Under

The Chiefs are a big 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
The predictive model expects the Chiefs to run the 11th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

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