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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 22

Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers

Patrick Mahomes Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 37.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 36.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to be the most pass-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 68.5% pass rate.

The projections expect this game to have the smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 127.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being projected in this game) usually mean better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower run volume.

Patrick Mahomes has attempted 38.8 passes per game this year, grading out in the 97th percentile among quarterbacks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

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