Patrick Mahomes Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Patrick Mahomes

NFL · Player Props

Patrick Mahomes

QB · Kansas City Chiefs

Pass Attempts

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 1:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Patrick Mahomes Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 38.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 37.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 6th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 63.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Patrick Mahomes to attempt 40.7 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 2nd-most of all QBs.
Opposing teams have averaged 35.1 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the league.

Favors Under

The Chiefs are a 3.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.

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