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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 19

Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins

Patrick Mahomes Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 34.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the most pass-centric offense in the league (70.4% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Chiefs.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 132.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

In this week's contest, Patrick Mahomes is projected by the predictive model to average the 3rd-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 38.6.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chiefs are a 4.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.

The weatherman calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

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