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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 16

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Patrick Mahomes Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Chiefs to pass on 60.6% of their plays: the 8th-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects Patrick Mahomes to attempt 37.4 passes in this game, on average: the 7th-most among all quarterbacks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chiefs are a massive 10.5-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 15-mph being called for in this game) generally correlate with worse passing efficiency, reduced air volume, and increased rush volume.

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