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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Interceptions
Player Prop Week 9

Kansas City Chiefs vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Patrick Mahomes Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +113 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Buccaneers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (38.6 per game) this year.

The Kansas City Chiefs O-line profiles as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

In averaging a colossal 1.47 interceptions per game this year, Patrick Mahomes slots in among the weakest QBs in the NFL (5th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chiefs are a huge 8.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs as the least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 56.9% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect Patrick Mahomes to attempt 35.1 passes in this contest, on balance: the fewest among all quarterbacks.

The Tampa Bay cornerbacks project as the best collection of CBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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