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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Interceptions
Player Prop Week 8

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-108/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in the NFL (64.8% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Kansas City Chiefs.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.

The Kansas City Chiefs O-line ranks as the 5th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.

In averaging a monstrous 1.48 interceptions per game this year, Patrick Mahomes ranks among the weakest quarterbacks in football (6th percentile).

The Raiders have intercepted 0.46 throws per game this year, ranking as the 10th-worst defense in football by this metric

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 9-point advantage, the Chiefs are heavily favored this week, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their usual approach.

At the moment, the 7th-most sluggish paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Chiefs.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the Raiders, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in football (a measly 29.0 per game) this year.

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