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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Interceptions
Player Prop Week 7

San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Patrick Mahomes Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 64.7% of their opportunities: the greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • In this week's game, Patrick Mahomes is expected by our trusted projection set to have the 3rd-most pass attempts among all QBs with 38.8.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs O-line ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all air attack metrics across the board.
  • In averaging a colossal 1.34 interceptions per game this year, Patrick Mahomes slots in among the bottom quarterbacks in football (10th percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects this game to have the 3rd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 125.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • San Francisco's defense grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year as it relates to producing interceptions, accumulating 0.99 per game.
  • When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, San Francisco's LB corps has been very good this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the league.

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