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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Interceptions
Player Prop Week 17

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-113/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 4th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 134.2 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 61.6 plays per game.

Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally lead to better passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower ground volume.

This week, Patrick Mahomes is projected by the projection model to total the 2nd-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 39.2.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Pittsburgh Steelers have intercepted 1.02 throws per game this year, ranking as the 3rd-best defense in the league by this metric.

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