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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Interceptions
Player Prop Week 14

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers

Patrick Mahomes Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-122/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (66.6% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Chiefs.

The Chiefs have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 60.6 plays per game.

Patrick Mahomes has attempted 37.6 throws per game this year, checking in at the 95th percentile among quarterbacks.

In regards to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Kansas City Chiefs profiles as the best in the league this year.

Patrick Mahomes has registered 1.06 interceptions per game this year, grading out in the 8th percentile when it comes to QBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 4 points.

The Chargers have intercepted 1.03 passes per game this year, grading out as the 5th-best defense in football by this metric.

The Chargers linebackers project as the 4th-best LB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.

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