My Account Log Out

reorder

Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Interceptions
Player Prop Week 17

Kansas City Chiefs vs Cincinnati Bengals

Patrick Mahomes Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -113.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs as the 9th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.9% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

In this contest, Patrick Mahomes is anticipated by the predictive model to average the 9th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 36.6.

When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Chiefs ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year.

In tallying a staggering 0.98 interceptions per game this year, Patrick Mahomes stands among the worst QBs in football (11th percentile).

When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Cincinnati's group of safeties has been very bad this year, ranking as the worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7-point advantage, the Chiefs are a huge favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.

The predictive model expects the Chiefs to call the 5th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Cincinnati's defense ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year when it comes to forcing interceptions, totaling 0.96 per game.

More Patrick Mahomes Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™