My Account Log Out

reorder

Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Interceptions
Player Prop Week 16

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders

Patrick Mahomes Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-120/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Chiefs to pass on 60.6% of their plays: the 8th-highest rate among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects Patrick Mahomes to attempt 37.4 passes in this game, on average: the 7th-most among all quarterbacks.

As it relates to pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Kansas City Chiefs ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year.

Patrick Mahomes has logged 0.99 interceptions per game this year, ranking in the 11th percentile among quarterbacks.

As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Las Vegas's unit has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the 6th-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chiefs are a massive 10.5-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

Windy weather conditions (like the 15-mph being called for in this game) generally correlate with worse passing efficiency, reduced air volume, and increased rush volume.

More Patrick Mahomes Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™