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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Interceptions
Player Prop Week 9

Kansas City Chiefs vs Tennessee Titans

Patrick Mahomes Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-115/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the 7th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 62.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Patrick Mahomes to attempt 37.2 passes in this week's game, on average: the 8th-most of all quarterbacks.

Opposing QBs have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 6th-most in football.

The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line has given their quarterback 2.60 seconds before getting pressured (best in the league since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chiefs are a big 13.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Chiefs to run the 4th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Tennessee Titans defensive ends rank as the 3rd-best collection of DEs in the NFL this year when it comes to pass rush.

The Kansas City Chiefs have been faced with a stacked the box on just 9.3% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the league. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box against opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in football. Choosing not to keep an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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