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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Completions
Player Prop Week 9

Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Patrick Mahomes Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (+100/-130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chiefs to pass on 68.4% of their opportunities: the highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.1 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • In this game, Patrick Mahomes is predicted by our trusted projection set to average the most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 42.5.
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 8th-highest rate in the league vs. the Dolphins defense this year (74.5% Adjusted Completion%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Miami Dolphins safeties project as the best safety corps in the league this year in defending receivers.

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