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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Completions
Player Prop Week 17

Kansas City Chiefs vs Cincinnati Bengals

Patrick Mahomes Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs as the 9th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.9% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

In this contest, Patrick Mahomes is anticipated by the predictive model to average the 9th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 36.6.

When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Chiefs ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year.

With an exceptional 67.2% Adjusted Completion% (83rd percentile) this year, Patrick Mahomes has been among the most on-target passers in the NFL.

When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Cincinnati's group of safeties has been very bad this year, ranking as the worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7-point advantage, the Chiefs are a huge favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.

The predictive model expects the Chiefs to call the 5th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

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