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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Carries
Player Prop Week 8

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 9-point advantage, the Chiefs are heavily favored this week, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their usual approach.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-least run-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 35.2% run rate.

At the moment, the 7th-most sluggish paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Chiefs.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.

After comprising 15.6% of his offense's rushing play calls last year, Patrick Mahomes has been less involved in the rushing attack this year, now taking on only 9.1%.

The Las Vegas Raiders defensive ends profile as the best group of DEs in football this year in regard to defending the run.

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