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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Carries
Player Prop Week 7

San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects Patrick Mahomes to be a much bigger part of his team's run game this week (14.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (9.3% in games he has played).

As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, San Francisco's unit has been dreadful this year, grading out as the 5th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to run on 35.3% of their chances: the lowest rate on the slate this week.

The model projects this game to have the 3rd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 125.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

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