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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Carries
Player Prop Week 4

Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this game, implying more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Chiefs to be the 3rd-least run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 37.4% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 124.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally lead to better passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume.

After comprising 15.6% of his offense's rushing play calls last year, Patrick Mahomes has been called on less the rushing attack this year, now accounting for just 9.9%.

The Chargers safeties rank as the 5th-best safety corps in football since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

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