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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Carries
Player Prop Week 22

Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-142/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -142.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Chiefs offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.02 seconds per snap.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Chiefs as the least run-focused team on the slate this week with a 35.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The projections expect Patrick Mahomes to accrue 3.7 rush attempts in this contest, on balance: the fewest among all QBs.

As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Philadelphia's group of LBs has been excellent this year, profiling as the 5th-best in the league.

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