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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Carries
Player Prop Week 2

Kansas City Chiefs vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Patrick Mahomes Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+100/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -129.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A rushing game script is suggested by the Chiefs being a 4-point favorite in this game.
  • While Patrick Mahomes has garnered 15.0% of his team's run game usage in games he has played since the start of last season, the predictive model expects him to be much more involved in Kansas City's running game in this week's game at 21.4%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to be the 4th-least run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 38.0% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Chiefs are expected by the projection model to call only 62.6 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • When it comes to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Cincinnati's group of LBs has been fantastic since the start of last season, grading out as the 2nd-best in football.

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