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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Carries
Player Prop Week 17

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-104/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 134.2 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 61.6 plays per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to run on 37.1% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest clip among all teams this week.

Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally lead to better passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower ground volume.

The predictive model expects Patrick Mahomes to accrue 2.8 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average: the 8th-fewest out of all QBs.

After making up 15.6% of his offense's rush attempts last season, Patrick Mahomes has been called on less the rushing attack this season, currently accounting for only 9.3%.

The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties project as the 2nd-best unit in football this year with their run defense.

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