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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Carries
Player Prop Week 1

Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens

Patrick Mahomes Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line implies a running game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 3 points.

Patrick Mahomes isn't afraid to be involved in the run game, comprising 14.4% of his offense's rush attempts last year, putting him in the 85th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to run on 34.9% of their plays: the lowest clip among all teams this week.

In terms of a defense's impact on tempo, at 28.36 seconds per snap, the model projects the Chiefs to be the 6th-most sluggish in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time.

The Baltimore Ravens defensive tackles rank as the 2nd-best DT corps in the league last year when it comes to stopping the run.

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