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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Carries
Player Prop Week 3

Kansas City Chiefs vs Chicago Bears

Patrick Mahomes Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/+105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Chiefs are a huge 12.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs offense as the 8th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.04 seconds per play.

THE BLITZ projects Patrick Mahomes to accrue 5.7 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 7th-most of all quarterbacks.

The Kansas City Chiefs O-line grades out as the best in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for rushers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 10th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 39.7% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Chicago Bears linebackers grade out as the 4th-best LB corps in the league since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

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