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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes Carries
Player Prop Week 20

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Comprising 15.0% of his team's rush attempts this year (85th percentile among quarterbacks), Patrick Mahomes's mobility marks him as a dangerous threat as a ball-carrier.

As it relates to executing run-blocking assignments (and the effect it has on all ground game stats), the offensive line of the Kansas City Chiefs grades out as the best in the league last year.

As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Buffalo's group of safeties has been atrocious this year, ranking as the worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Chiefs as the least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 36.4% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the Chiefs to call the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

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