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Patrick Mahomes
NFL · Player Props
Patrick Mahomes
QB · Kansas City Chiefs
Carries
New England Patriots vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 15, 2023 Updated Dec 18, 2023 12:16 AM UTC
NFL Props Patrick Mahomes Carries

Patrick Mahomes Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+120/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -155.

Favors Over
  • With a 3.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual game plan.
  • Patrick Mahomes isn't afraid to run the ball, comprising 14.7% of his offense's run game usage this year, placing him in the 81st percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.
  • The Kansas City offensive line ranks as the best in the league last year at executing run-blocking assingments.
Favors Under
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to run on 38.0% of their downs: the 4th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • The Patriots safeties grade out as the best safety corps in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.
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