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Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Jets

Pat Freiermuth Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -185 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may drop.

The leading projections forecast Pat Freiermuth to notch 4.8 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to TEs.

With a fantastic 3.7 adjusted receptions per game (88th percentile) this year, Pat Freiermuth ranks among the best pass-catching TEs in the league.

Pat Freiermuth's 88.3% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a remarkable boost in his receiving proficiency over last season's 73.2% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 4th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 51.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 126.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game against the New York Jets defense this year: 9th-fewest in the league.

Pat Freiermuth's 75.6% Snap% this season represents an impressive growth in his offensive volume over last season's 62.5% figure.

The New York Jets linebackers profile as the best unit in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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